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Forecasting vs. Navigation: Why Prediction Alone Isn’t Enough

By Adam Chickman May, 26 2025

When revenue leaders talk about forecasting, they’re usually talking about prediction. Based on where we are now and where we’ve been—where do we think we’ll land?

That’s important. In fact, it’s critical. Accurate forecasts help you plan headcount, allocate resources, communicate with the board, and instill discipline across the team. Every revenue team needs a forecast.

But forecasting is only half the equation.

Forecasting is your weather report. Navigation is your flight plan.


Forecasting Helps You Predict Where You’ll Land

A strong revenue forecast gives your company confidence. It tells you:

  • Are we on track to hit the number?

  • Do we have enough pipeline coverage?

  • Will we fall short—or outperform—this quarter?

Forecasting platforms are great at surfacing this directional view. They’ll show you when you only have 2x coverage when you need 3x. They’ll flag that you’re behind on pipeline or revenue. That’s helpful for setting expectations. But for many leaders, it often stops there.

And let’s be honest: telling a CRO they need more pipeline is rarely news. Who isn’t already trying to create as much pipeline as possible?

That kind of insight—while accurate—isn’t all that actionable.


Navigation Helps You Change the Outcome

Revenue navigation picks up where forecasting leaves off.

It doesn’t just tell you you’re behind. It tells you why, and where to focus to change the outcome.

  • Which channels or sub-channels are underperforming?

  • Which reps or teams are struggling to convert?

  • Which stages are losing velocity or causing deal drop-off?

  • Where are deals shrinking in value before they close?

  • Which segments have the highest and lowest ASPs?

Instead of treating “pipeline” as one big bucket, revenue navigation breaks it down into what’s working and what’s hurting you. It shows which levers—like win rate, ASP, or pipeline mix—are dragging you down, and which are pulling you forward.

It’s the difference between saying:

“You don’t have enough pipeline.”

And saying:

“Your outbound SDR pipeline is pacing 48% to goal, but your inbound web leads are ahead of target—doubling down there could close the gap.”

That’s not just visibility. That’s clarity and control.


Forecast + Navigation = The Real Holy Grail

This isn’t about choosing between forecasting and navigation. You need both.

  • Forecasting shows where you’re likely to land.

  • Navigation helps you get where you want to go.

Together, they allow you to operate with foresight—knowing what’s likely to happen and what to do about it.

That’s what we’re building at RevdUp. A revenue copilot that not only predicts your path—but helps you adjust course in real time.

Let’s move from reactive to proactive.

From watching to steering.

From forecasting… to navigating.